Episode SignalCast
Pre-record prediction engine -- predict performance before you publish
147 Calibrated Predictions
Episode Details
Episode Title
Guest
SC
Format
Drop Date
Topic Tags
84
out of 100
Strong Episode
High confidence in above-average performance. This episode profiles well across all seven scoring dimensions with particular strength in topic demand and trend alignment.
89% Confidence
based on 147 calibrated predictions
7 Scoring Dimensions
Topic Timing
78/100
Pricing psychology is entering a resurgence cycle. 3 trending signals detected across Google Trends and Reddit. Optimal window for this topic: next 10 days.
Google Trends +34% MoM
3 active signals
10-day optimal window
Topic Demand
91/100
High search volume detected. Google Trends shows +34% month-over-month growth. Reddit mentions up 2.1x in the last 30 days. Strong niche fit with your audience profile.
Search volume: High
Reddit 2.1x mentions
Strong niche fit
Top 5 topic match
Guest Pull
85/100
Dr. Chen has 22K LinkedIn followers and 15K on Twitter. Previous podcast appearances drove an average +18% download lift. Audience overlap with your listeners: 78%.
22K LinkedIn
15K Twitter
+18% avg lift
78% audience overlap
Audience Fit
88/100
Your audience indexes 2.4x on behavioral economics content compared to the podcast average. This is a top 3 topic match based on retention data and listener surveys.
2.4x audience index
Top 3 topic match
High retention correlation
Saturation Risk
72/100
3 competing episodes covering pricing psychology have dropped in the last 14 days. However, your voice differentiation score is 8.2/10, meaning your angle is distinct enough to stand out.
3 competing episodes
14-day window
8.2/10 voice differentiation
Format Match
80/100
The 60-75 min interview format historically performs +12% above your overall average. Your audience shows strongest retention for interviews in the 55-70 minute range.
+12% above average
55-70 min sweet spot
Interview format preferred
Trend Alignment
94/100
Directly aligns with the "creator economy pricing" trend currently in Phase: Rising. Growth Opportunity Score of 87. Multi-source confirmation from Google Trends, YouTube, and Reddit.
Phase: Rising
GOS: 87
3-source confirmation
Creator economy overlap
Prediction Ranges
Projected Download Range
Low
8,200
Mid (Expected)
15,100
High
22,400
Timeline Projections
Day 3 Projection
9,800
67% of projected final
Day 7 Projection
13,200
87% of projected final
Day 30 Final
15,100
Expected total
Probability Analysis
23%
Viral Probability
Above the 15% threshold. Worth optimizing for breakout potential.
18%
Explore / Feature Probability
Moderate chance of being featured on platform discovery surfaces.
Ivy Recommendations
Move drop date to Wednesday 6AM -- historically +8% downloads for your audience based on 52-week day-of-week analysis.
Add a "pricing mistake" hook in the first 3 minutes -- your top 10% episodes all had contrarian or counterintuitive hooks in the opening.
Cross-reference with Ep 132 (Negotiation Psychology) -- 64% topic overlap, that episode did 19.2K downloads. Reuse the debate-style segment structure.
Historical Accuracy -- Last 10 Episodes
| Episode | Predicted | Actual | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
|
The Growth Hacking Playbook
Ep 148
|
14,200 | 14,800 | 96% |
|
Building in Public: Year 2
Ep 147
|
12,500 | 13,100 | 95% |
|
The Cold Email Masterclass
Ep 146
|
16,800 | 15,200 | 90% |
|
Fundraising in 2026
Ep 145
|
18,400 | 19,200 | 96% |
|
Remote Team Culture
Ep 144
|
11,600 | 10,300 | 89% |
|
Acquisition Stories
Ep 143
|
20,100 | 22,400 | 89% |
|
The Retention Formula
Ep 142
|
13,900 | 14,100 | 99% |
|
Solo: Lessons from 2025
Ep 141
|
9,800 | 8,600 | 88% |
|
SaaS Metrics Deep Dive
Ep 140
|
15,600 | 16,900 | 92% |
|
Negotiation Psychology
Ep 132
|
17,400 | 19,200 | 91% |
Accuracy Trend
92.5% avg